How can we handicap Obama’s re-election chances? (Originally posted on Yahoo!'s "The Ticket" blog)

I posted a blog piece on Yahoo on the likelihood of President Obama's re-election (which is currently at 50.9%). Click Here for Full Text. As you can see, as bad economic news has arrived over the last few months, Obama's re-election likelihood has also plummeted.The chart is here:

Obama Re-Elect

and the real-time table is below: