Romney leads prediction markets even as poll numbers lag (Originally posted on Yahoo!'s "The Signal" Blog)

On Monday, neoconservative leader, George W. Bush foreign policy cheerleader, and early supporter of Sarah Palin, Bill Kristol, made an emotional plea for a new anyone-but-Romney candidate to join the race for the Republican nomination. Yet Gingrich's woes show that it is too late for a new candidate to build a national organization and get ballot access. Thus, the more trouble that occurs for the remaining anyone-but-Romney candidates, the more likely Romney himself gets to winning the nomination.

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