Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180702: 1) There is no deal with North Korea, just concessions for nothing: President Trump met with leader of North Korea giving him photo-ops he wanted and agreed to suspect joint-exercises with South Korea. Then Trump claimed North Korea was denuclearizing, but North Korea is building more facilities proving Trump got nothing Read more

TX-27 Special Elections: TapResearch/PredictWise predict winner correctly, and two-party vote share among leading candidates very well.   TapResearch and PredictWise ran a poll in TX-27 before the special election to replace Blake Farenthold (yes, this guy below who resigned in disgrace over an ethics investigation and allegations of sexually harassing staffers, and likes to wear, Read more

The World Cup market-data page now includes the market-prices for getting to each round. These will update in real-time as games progress, but a few things: 1) Round of Sixteen: Uruguay 50% over Portugal 50%, France 59% over Argentina 41%, Brazil 79% over Mexico 21%, Belgium 85% over Japan 15%, Spain 78% over Russia 22%, Read more

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180628. My goal is to write Sundays through Thursdays, publish around 9 PM ET. It will be a short recap of what was most interesting that day. I will limit it to three bullet points. Today: 1) Another mass shooting: 96 people die each day from gun violence in the Read more

The 27th Congressional District has not been at the forefront of national news, after RuberDucky-pajama-wearing Blake Farenthold resigned, that is. Only few know that this minority-majority district holds special elections on Saturday, June 30th. TapResearch has teamed up with PredictWise to shed light on the political compass in this district, leveraging TapResearch’s innovative ways to collect Read more

I am a political junkie and I have never read a political party platform. So, I assume almost no one does. No one asked me, but if I ran the Democratic Party I would proposed a very short platform that every single American could learn: It could fit on five tweets. It would include actual Read more

President Trump wants the US to abandon their long-standing alliance, both trade and security, with Canada and the European Union (including the United Kingdom), and form a tighter relationship with Russia. I made a simple graphics to explain why this is bat-shit crazy.  

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180627. My goal is to write Sundays through Thursdays, publish around 9 PM ET. It will be a short recap of what was most interesting that day. I will limit it to three bullet points. Today: 1) Supreme Court crushed public sector unions: In another 5-4 decision the Supreme Court made Read more

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180626. My goal is to write Sundays through Thursdays, publish around 9 PM ET. It will be a short recap of what was most interesting that day. I will limit it to three bullet points. Today: 1) Supreme Court Upholds President Trump's Muslim Travel Ban: In a 5-4 decision the Supreme Court Read more