Please bookmark for updating probabilities during tonight’s Golden Globes. Below is the prediction market-based predictions – in this case derived completely from Betfair data. Compared with the Oscars there is a lot more uncertainty. The reason is obvious, by the time we get to the Oscars we have already seen all of the other awards shows! To many people the biggest surprise may be the confidence in Spotlight winning the award for Best Picture – Drama, but it heads into the night at 75%. In a surprisingly sentimental role, Sylvester Stallone is odds-on, just barely, for best supporting actor.