Could not help myself, so my future reference I made a quick list of how Nate Silver is a really great data journalist and publisher, but a really bad pundit and not a progressive. My best guess is that he a moderate, possibly right-of-center

February 24, 2019 at 7:59 PM ET: Here are the final market predictions (not much changed): [https://pw-legacy-blog-images.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Oscar201902232000.png] February 23, 2019 at 8 PM ET: I am going to blog from here on

Just this weekend the mainstream media highlighted three ways that its unwritten rules actually encourages extreme and non-normative political behavior. 1) If the mainstream media sees details of a policy, it will tear it apart. But, if it does not see details of a

Note: this post is a work in progress. I may update from time to time as I try to formulate my thoughts. Any budding political theorist want to work on an academic version of this post, drop me an email … There are two ways

This is an update to a piece I wrote in early 2 [https://blog.predictwise.com/2018/02/republicans-hate-the-constitution/]018 [https://blog.predictwise.com/2018/02/republicans-hate-the-constitution/]. Republicans, media, and sadly Democrats all seem to believe that Republicans are into the Constitution. But, they

Antisemites think they have Jewish-Americans in a tight spot. When a Jewish American says something about opposing an ethno-nationalist state in America, they retort: what about Israel! They have an ethno-nationalist government! Do you think they should have open-borders?!? Here is the problem: 1)