349 posts

Misinformation has a Republican bias. The question is: why?

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- GOP misinformation campaign -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Republicans and president Trump have been engaging in full-blown misinformation campaigns for years now – everything from crowd-sizes at Trump speeches to [] illegal immigrants voting [https

Calibrated polling: Post-Mortem

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PredictWise Calibrated Polling explained -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Late in the cycle, we introduced a new method we dubbedPredictWise Calibrated Polling [].As a brief reminder, this is Calibrated Polling: As we have maintained through the cycle, estimating who people

Three late polls, and more lofty thoughts

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Three late breaking polls -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We have launched three late-breaking polls into interesting and critical races, Nevada Senate, Texas Senate and CA-22 – all polls make use of our newly developed method, Calibrated Polling [], making use of

PredictWise Calibrated Polling

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Horse Race with PredictWise methodology -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As you have seen elsewhere,PredictWise’s []track record when it comes to horse race predictions is, to say the least, very good []. In general, there is

How will they vote? Dissecting Directional Vote among Hispanics

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2010-2016: The Republicanization of the Hispanic vote -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Given President Trump’s late-cycle appeal to immigration hardliners, it is surprising that Hispanics are only a second order priority for Democratic campaigns. Latino Decisions, in conducting a tracking poll for the bipartisan National Association

How will they vote? Dissecting directional vote among Millennials, minorities

How will they vote? Dissecting directional vote among Millennials, minorities

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Voting Among Subgroups in 2014 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We have recently discussed the importance of turnout [], and we firmly believe that turnout will determine

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