Election Night: SC GOP & NV DEM

[table table-id=1631] [table table-id=1606] 1:15 PM ET: Rubio is now 50% to come in 2nd. If he does come in 2nd he will be over 50% to win the nomination. It would crush Cruz to come in 3rd in South Carolina, a conservative southern state. And, it would mean Bush is done and Kasich is Read more

Trump, Sanders, and S&P 500

The cover article in Barron's asks a seemingly simple question: "Trump and Sanders" Are they killing the stock market?" This is a topic that I have addressed lightly (both in depth and seriousness) in the past. For the sake of this piece we will ignore Barron's mistake of correlating national polling numbers with the S&P Read more

New Hampshire Recap

New Hampshire happened exactly as expected with Donald Trump and John Kasich finishing first and second in the Republican primary and Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic primary. The only suspense and surprise came in the strength of Kasich's finish and the order of the remaining candidates. 1) Marco Rubio's finish is a failure and a Read more

2016 Super Bowl

[chart table-id=1626] 9:34 PM ET: Start of 4th quarter, 16-7 Broncos, Broncos with the ball. Broncos 78% to win over Panthers. 8:40 PM ET: Broncos 52% to win at halftime. They are up 13-7. 8:11 PM ET: Panthers 52% at 2 min warning of 1st half. Down 7-13 with 1:55 and the ball at their own 18. Read more

Iowas Caucus Night

This table will update every 5 minutes all night … [table table-id=1612] [table table-id=1613] 11:23 PM ET: Markets now at 98% for Clinton to (barely) carry IA 11:11 PM ET: Trump is still favored in NH for GOP, but Rubio & Cruz both up a little. Not much movement in NH on the DEM side; Sanders Read more

Trump v. Rubio for GOP Nomination

It is looking increasingly like Donald Trump will win the race for the non-establishment candidate and Marco Rubio is poised to seize the race for the establishment candidate (although there is still a lot more uncertainty there). This seems like a shocking turn of events over the last few days, unless, of course you have been Read more