The Progressive Pendulum: Helping Hunterdon County

This is part 9 of the PredictWise series on congressional districts that are seen as competitive in the 2018 election according to PredictWise and Cook: The PredictWise Progressive Pendulum, with new entries coming right here on PredictWise every Tuesday. Instead of the ins-and-outs of the horse-race, this series sheds light on the ideological landscape in these districts. Read more

You should care about corruption

President Trump is corrupt. Trump Organization is a basically a money laundering scheme, and Trump's lawyer/fixer (Michael Cohen) and Campaign Chair (Paul Manafort) are both guilty felons for various tax and financial crimes. So lets talk about why a corrupt president is so bad: (1) Corrupt person is easily susceptible to Blackmail (2) Corruption begets More Read more

Real News: Alex Jones is Bad, but Donald Trump is Worse

Alex Jones is a despicable person who does despicable things including starting crazy conspiracy theories that undermine our democracy, targeting groups of people with hate speech, and singling out innocent and, frequently, grieving people with targeted harassment. After Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey defended Alex Jones (before Twitter decided today to partially suspend him for a week), Read more

PredictWise Daily 20180723: Do not repeat lies!

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180723: 1) President Trump lied a lot today, about a lot of things. Important to remind everyone to not repeat his lies. If you need to report on his statements, try: President Trump lied a lot today, about a lot of things. 2) Republican administration is a healthy mix of cruelty Read more

Democratic Party has never been more united over policy

For decades Democratic politicians have advanced economic policy positions (on: taxes, social safety net like healthcare, shelter, food, and money) several steps to right of Democratic voters. Actually, on many issues they were to the right of Republican voters. Below is handy, oversimplified graphic of where Democratic and Republican voters and politicians were/are on key Read more

1.5 years of President Trump

President Trump published this list of accomplishments on his 500th day in office early last month, let's revisit it through a more critical lens: 1) American economy is still humming along, despite the best efforts of President Trump to undermine it with a stupid trade war. Trump cites job numbers which are clearly just moving Read more

PredictWise Daily 20180718: Russia is not a good ally

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180718: 1) Serious people need to accept end-game of Trump Doctrine: he wants to shift United States from security agreement with Canada and Europe to one with Russia. There needs to be public debate on how incredibly stupid this is for US security and prosperity. 2) Republican leadership is really into callous Read more

Republican Trump Doctrine: Security Agreement with Russia

Serious people in media and politics need to accept what Republican President Trump is clearly demonstrating with his actions and implicitly stating with his words: he wants to shift the United States from a security agreement with Canada and Europe to one with Russia. 1) Republican President Trump wants to sever United States security agreements with Read more

PredictWise Daily 20180716: Putin is tired of so much #winning

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180716: 1) President Trump/Republicans want Russia to defeat US in cyber-war, because investigation and defensive actions would (1) embarrass Republicans who were helped by Russia (2) cut-off further help from Russia. Think about that for a second: President of the Untied States wants US to lose ongoing war for personal Read more

PredictWise Daily 20180712: House Republicans Hate Democracy

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180712: 1) House Republicans Hate Democracy (and America): trashing a FBI agent for having personal politics, while ignoring the fact the FBI did not leak information on Trump and trashed Clinton, handing Trump the election, is bad. Trying to force the FBI to compromise ongoing investigation into ongoing cyber-attack is worse. 2) Read more