[table table-id=1631]

[table table-id=1606]

1:15 PM ET: Rubio is now 50% to come in 2nd. If he does come in 2nd he will be over 50% to win the nomination. It would crush Cruz to come in 3rd in South Carolina, a conservative southern state. And, it would mean Bush is done and Kasich is either done or negligible. Rubio would be in a strong position in a head-to-head clash with Trump.

10:00 AM ET: Morning Line: (SC) 1st Trump 84%, Cruz 8%, Rubio 7% / 2nd Cruz 48%, Rubio 42%, Trump 9% (NV) Clinton 61%

6:00 PM ET on 2/17: I am getting this table up early (the GOP SC table), because I am so fascinated by it!