I last addressed the senate 6 days ago and there has been meaningful movement in two states. First, North Carolina has gone from leaning Democratic to strong Democratic. This is on the strength of some new polls. Second, Kansas has gone from very difficult to possible for the Democrats. That is assuming that Orman is going to caucus with the Democratic Party. This on the strength of the first polls showing the Democratic candidate basically gone and looking increasingly likely the Democratic candidate will not be on the ballot, despite the Lt. 'Governor's best efforts. It amazing to think that Kansas’ top three races: Senator, Governor, and Lt. Governor may all go Democratic.
Here is New York Times and FiveThirtyEight compared with PredictWise. Not too much difference: