At 9:30 AM ET on March 17, here are all of today’s games. I have ordered them by the likelihood of the lower seed winning. We have just four lower seeds favored to win today with #9 Butler, Connecticut, and Providence leading the way. I like to think of the game between Gonzaga and Seton Hall as a toss-up, because the PredictWise team’s ancestral home is northern Jersey. More interesting is the bubble games with #11 Wichita State and #12 Chattangooga as possible upsets with 44% and 41% respectively. #12 Yale is looking strong at 34%.
At 9:30 AM ET on March 17, here is every team with 2% probability of winning the tournament or more. Kansas leads with 13%, followed closely by UNC at 12%, Michigan State at 11%, and Virginia at 10%, rounding out the four teams in double digits.