There are a few things you need to know about Round 2, Day 1:

1) You will be eliminated from Buffett's bracket challenge. There are 16 game today and my rough estimate is that there is a 0.5% chance of escaping day 1 intact.

2) Upsets predicted: Pitt (9) over Colorado (8) (does that count?)

3) Most likely upsets are the games where the higher seed is less than 60% likely to win: Harvard (12) is 42% to win today over Cincinnati (5), N.C. State (12) is 41% to win over Saint Louis (5), and Arizona St. (10) is 46% to win over Texas (7). Those 12 seeds are dangerous with North Dakota St. (12) at 39% to win over Oklahoma (5).

4) Full list of static, pre-game predictions.

5) Full list of real-time updating predictions. These are updating about every 2-3 minutes. I apologize in advance for any real-time quirks!

Now … go have a productive day at work!