Day 3 was another day of top-seeds or expected favorites winning … will the exception of the top seeded Villanova. This is a huge blow to the FiveThirtyEight predictions which had a big weight on Nova: a 16% likelihood of winning the tourney going into the round of 32 (12% going into the round of 64). Prediction market-based forecasts were half of that.

In the game-by-game predictions for Sunday, March 22, the market-based PredictWise forecasts are again similar to FiveThirtyEight today … But, keep on eye on Maryland v. West Virginia where  PredictWise's live predictions are ont he other side of the outcome.