At 9:30 AM ET on March 19, here are all of today’s games. I have ordered them by the likelihood of the lower seed winning. Ignore the first game, because that has yet to settle in the market, but #11 Wichita State and #11 Gonzaga are both favored, not leaning towards upset, but actually favored over Miami and Utah respectively.
At 9:30 AM ET on March 19, here is every team with 2% probability of winning the tournament or more. Kansas leads with 16%, followed closely by UNC at 15%, and Virginia at 13% rounding out the three teams in double digits. The key difference today versus going into Day 2 is the absence of Michigan State!