At 9:30 AM ET on March 20, here are all of today’s games. I have ordered them by the likelihood of the lower seed winning.The higher seeded team is favored to win every game today. The most likely “upset” is #14 Stephen F. Austin over #6 Notre Dame. The potential huge upset is Wisconsin over Xavier, but the upset is just 35% likely to happen with #2 Xavier is 65% to hold on.
At 9:30 AM ET on March 19, here is every team with 2% probability of winning the tournament or more. UNC leads with 17%, followed closely by Kansas at 16%, and Virginia at 15% rounding out the three teams in double digits. The top three remain extremely stable.