This is part 12 of the PredictWise series on congressional districts that are seen as competitive in the 2018 election according to PredictWise and Cook: The PredictWise Progressive Pendulum, with new entries coming right here on PredictWise every Tuesday. Instead of the ins-and-outs of

2010-2016: The Republicanization of the Hispanic vote Given President Trump’s late-cycle appeal to immigration hardliners, it is surprising that Hispanics are only a second order priority for Democratic campaigns. Latino Decisions, in conducting a tracking poll for the bipartisan National Association of

This is part 11 of the PredictWise series on congressional districts that are seen as competitive in the 2018 election according to PredictWise and Cook: The PredictWise Progressive Pendulum, with new entries coming right here on PredictWise every Tuesday. Instead of the ins-and-outs of

We recently did some polling for NowThis on Judge Kavanaugh. The poll was conducted on Friday, September 21, so it misses some recent allegations, but is still extremely relevant. Here is the full data. Let us start with the toplines. Young people state they

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180723: 1) President Trump lied a lot today, about a lot of things. Important to remind everyone to not repeat his lies. If you need to report on his statements, try: President Trump lied a lot today, about a

For decades Democratic politicians have advanced economic policy positions (on: taxes, social safety net like healthcare, shelter, food, and money) several steps to right of Democratic voters. Actually, on many issues they were to the right of Republican voters. Below is handy, oversimplified graphic

President Trump published this list of accomplishments on his 500th day in office early last month, let’s revisit it through a more critical lens: 1) American economy is still humming along, despite the best efforts of President Trump to undermine it with

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180718: 1) Serious people need to accept end-game of Trump Doctrine: he wants to shift United States from security agreement with Canada and Europe to one with Russia. There needs to be public debate on how incredibly stupid this

Serious people in media and politics need to accept what Republican President Trump is clearly demonstrating with his actions and implicitly stating with his words: he wants to shift the United States from a security agreement with Canada and Europe to one with Russia.

This is part 3 of the PredictWise series on congressional districts that are seen as competitive in the 2018 election according to PredictWise and Cook: The PredictWise Progressive Pendulum, with new entries coming right here on PredictWise every Tuesday. Instead of the ins-and-outs of

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180716: 1) President Trump/Republicans want Russia to defeat US in cyber-war, because investigation and defensive actions would (1) embarrass Republicans who were helped by Russia (2) cut-off further help from Russia. Think about that for a second: President

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180712: 1) House Republicans Hate Democracy (and America): trashing a FBI agent for having personal politics, while ignoring the fact the FBI did not leak information on Trump and trashed Clinton, handing Trump the election, is bad. Trying to

Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180711: 1) President Trump is good at blowing good things up and terrible at building anything. Beautifully written Twitter thread by Claire Berlinski, which I will sum up as America built current world structures to provide US: dominance, security,