Russia Collusion

Every day people (i.e., trolls) tweet at me about how President Trump did not collude with and/or is not compromised to Russia (and/or another foreign power). Reminding everyone of the overwhelming amount of evidence of the relationship between Team Trump and Russia is boring, but important. So, here is a post that I will keep Read more

Polling: Ripe for Transformation (Part 1 of 4)

This is the first piece of our series, Evolution of Polling Samples from RDD to RDE In part 2: we discuss Online Panels which are increasingly replacing RDD. In part 3: we discuss Assisted Crowdsourcing, a brand-new form of polling. In part 4: we introduce Random Device Engagement (that is what we do!). Part 1: Read more

Polling: Online Panels (Part 2 of 4)

This is the second piece of our series, Evolution of Polling Samples from RDD to RDE In part 1: we describe a polling industry that is ripe for transformation as Random Digit Dialing (RDD) becomes increasingly tenuous. In part 3: we discuss  Assisted Crowdsourcing, a brand-new form of polling. In part 4: we introduce Random Device Read more

Trump is a Racist

President Trump is a racist. His racism is meaningful beyond the vulgarity of a racist president: it affects his policy. US immigration policy is certainty affected by Trump's view that African countries are "shitholes". President Trump created a committee to help increase voter suppression of minority voters. People will languish in prison because of lack Read more

Trade Benefits Both Sides

President Trump is going to fail in any trade negotiations because he is a terrible negotiator. But, even more important in this case, he literally does not understand trade, which makes it very hard to do well in a negotiation. Trump is a bad negotiator. He failed miserably when he tried to negotiate a deal Read more

Polling: Assisted Crowd Sourcing (Part 3 of 4)

This is the third piece of our series, Evolution of Polling Samples from RDD to RDE In part 1: we describe a polling industry that is ripe for transformation as Random Digit Dialing (RDD) becomes increasingly tenuous. In part 2: we discuss issues involved with online panels which are increasingly replacing RDD. In part 4: we introduce Read more

Messaging versus Targeting

Cambridge Analytica's external validation is a PNAS paper by Matz et al. that Dean Eckles, Bertt Gordon, and Garrett Johnson (Eckles et al.) just showed is NOT valid in letter to PNAS (yes, that is how science is done, with a letter to the same journal that published the original!). Crazy thing is that Eckles et al. did not even get Read more

Pro-Life Platform: More Abortions, More Maternal Death, Hurt Children

The media is too willing to report what people say their policies will do, rather than what their policies actually do. One clear example is so-called-Pro-Life policies. The "pro-life" policies will, without question: increase the number of abortions, increase the rate of maternal mortality, and decrease the health of children. 1) Abstinence only education increases amount Read more