Welcome to the PredictWise Daily 20180709:

1) Old enough to remember when Republican railed against activist judges, even as Republican Supreme Court ended voting rights, worker organizing, etc. Assume that Republican concern over activist judges will fade even further with a solid 5-4 majority, versus a somewhat solid 5-4 majority. It is not just women’s right, but voting right, workers’ rights, minority religion rights, and, possibly, LGBT rights that are in danger.

2) Brexit is now unpopular and conservative government having tough time negotiating with Europe and maintaining power. Too bad there is no viable anti-Brexit alternative.

Democratic Healthcare Plan (let anyone buy Medicare, at  reasonable rate) is a sharp contrast with the Republican Healthcare Plan (make healthcare unaffordable for people with preexisting conditions and sabotage the market for everyone else). On Saturday, the Trump administration decided to eliminate mandated payments to insurance companies to further destabilize markets. Crazy thing about this: it may actually end up costing government more money and it adds volatility. It is your classic lose-lose.

Market Watch 20180709: Democrats 59 percent to take the House and Republicans 73 percent to hold the Senate outright and 17 percent to hold the Senate with 50/50 tie.