Please bookmark http://twopointoh.predictwise.com/entertainment/2016-golden-globes/ for updating probabilities during tonight's Golden Globes. Below is the prediction market-based predictions – in this case derived completely from Betfair data. Compared with the Oscars there is a lot more uncertainty. The reason is obvious, by the time we get to the Oscars we have already seen all of the other Read more
As promised we got 8 of 10 major movie categories binary correct at the Golden Globes. Boyhood took home its three statues, but Birdman came up short with 2 of 3 excepted wins. The surprise winners, The Grand Budapest Hotel for Best Picture (comedy or musical) and Amy Adams in Big Eyes for Best Actress (comedy or musical), were both our second most likely choices.
The Golden Globes are Sunday, January 11 and, as usual, we have some bold, market-based, predictions on PredictWise. The methodology for the Golden Globes is the exact same as the Oscars, which has not been previously tested out-of-sample for the Golden Globes, but we are excited to see how they do. We have predictions for 10 categories and here are our pre-event predictions: