Today’s Games: Groups E and F finish their round robins today. Group F kicks off at noon with Nigeria 10% against Argentina 65% with 25% to draw. And, Bosnia at 48% against Iran at 26% and 26% to draw. Argentina is through to the next round with 6 points and Nigeria is in command for the second spot with 4 points. Iran has 1 point and can tie Nigeria if they beat Bosnia and Nigeria loses to Argentina. If that happens, they will likely advance on goal differential. Group E feature Honduras 12% and Switzerland 67%, with 21% to draw. And, Ecuador 17%, France 59% with 24% to draw. France is almost definite to advance with 6 points, but Ecuador and Switzerland are tied with 3 points each. Switzerland is about 67% to advance assuming they are likely to take more points off of Honduras than Ecuador off of France.

Yesterday’s Games: Italy was the slightest of favorites yesterday over Uruguay, but lost in a tight 1-0 game. I am really at a loss to explain why Uruguay’s star player bit an Italy player, but it could cost them dearly if he is suspended. Another upset in group C where Ivory Coast advanced with a win or draw against Greece, but lost on a penalty in injury time.

Overall View: Not much movement up top today with none of the major favorites playing.

Updating Predictions: likelihood of any game and likelihood of any team reaching any round. Details on method and full coverage.