Today’s Games: England’s small chance of making to the round of sixteen hangs in the balance of today’s Italy 63% versus Costa Rica 14% game (with 23% to draw). All three teams in group D, which are not England, have 3 points and England has 0 points. A tie would eliminate England, as two teams would reach 4 points. Their best hope is a victory by Italy that would leave Italy secure and Uruguay and Costa Rica with 3 points each. Then, a big English victory over Costa Rica and an Italy victory over Uruguay could get them into the next round. The other two games are in group E with Switzerland 21% against France 52% with 27% to draw. And, Honduras 17% against Ecuador at 59% with 24% to draw. France and Switzerland are heavy favorites to advance.

Yesterday’s Games: Colombia’s victory secured it a spot in the round of sixteen and the Ivory Coast, despite its loss, is in a good position for the other spot in group C. Ivory Coast has 3 points, to 1 point for Japan and Greece, and finishes the round robin with a match against Greece. England’s loss put them in a tight spot as they watch today’s match between Italy and Costa Rica.

Overall View: Not much change at the top yesterday. Confidence in Germany continues to grow and everyone is waiting on Argentina’s second match against Nigeria to see how good they really are!

Updating Predictions: likelihood of any game and likelihood of any team reaching any round. Details on method and full coverage.