Today’s Games: 134 years ago on July 19 France declared war on Prussia starting the ill-fated (for France) Franco-Prussian War. 100 years ago today the Archduke Ferdinand of Austria was laid to rest, one more turning of the wheel that would lead to full blow war in Europe by August 1, 1914. 74 years ago on September 1, 1939 World War II began with the German invasion of Poland; France fell on June 22, 1940. Meanwhile, today, Germany is 59% to defeat France 41%. While the French team has played well all tournament, the Germans are still a slight favorite. The later match features Brazil 69% to defeat Colombia 31%. Brazil is really benefiting from an easier draw than most, a little home field advantage, and less travel.

Yesterday’s Games: USA lost a heartbreaker to Belgium on Tuesday night. Argentina won a tight match against Switzerland.

Overall View: With the favorite teams going 8-0 in the round of 16 there is not much movement at the top.

Updating Predictions: likelihood of any game and likelihood of any team reaching any round. Details on method and full coverage.